Showing posts with label Chris Paddie. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chris Paddie. Show all posts

Friday, November 30, 2018

The session is coming, the session is coming!

As of this writing, there are only 39 days until the 86th Texas Legislative Session begins. The general election back on Nov 6th saw a few changes in the makeup of both the House and Senate but not so much that Republicans lost control of either body. Going into the session, the House will be made up of 83 Republicans and 67 Democrats. The Senate will comprise 19 Republicans and 12 Democrats. Lt Gov. Dan Patrick won re-election and will preside over the Senate while Representative Dennis Bonnen out of Angleton, Tx., just south of Galveston, is considered the presumptive Speaker of the House. On January 8th, the House will vote to make the Speaker nominee official.

I'm hopeful the new session will address issues that Texans have been wanting for several cycles now but haven't been able to receive, mainly due to big money lobbyist and some outgoing legislatures that blocked those reforms each chance they got. In fact, Rep. Bonnen has indicated that the biggest influence on legislation in previous sessions, an Austin lobbyist, will no longer have a seat at the table this year.

In the March 2018 primaries, Republican voters went to the polls and voted on eleven different propositions, priority subjects that the Texas Republican Party wanted feedback on. All eleven propositions passed and here in East Texas, they did as well. Some of these propositions coincide with the Legislative Priorities developed at the Republican Party Texas Convention of 2018.

The biggest priorities I believe Texans want to see addressed, are property tax reform and school funding. In the primary, voters across the State said they wanted to replace the property tax system with a consumption base system, (Prop 1) with 68% of the vote and to cap revenue increases at 4%, (Prop 10) with 94% of the vote. Voter Fraud (Prop 8) and school choice, (Prop 5), were also propositions on the primary ballot.

The East Texas breakdown by house districts and the percentage each proposition received as an aggregate:

                                           Prop 1           Prop 5           Prop 8           Prop 10
HD1,   Gary VanDeaver       62                   73                 97                  94
HD5,   Cole Hefner              66                   71                 97                  88   
HD6,   Matt Schaefer           64                   81                 95                  94
HD7,   Jay Dean                  67                   73                 96                  94
HD8,   Cody Harris              67                   75                 96                  93
HD9,   Chris Paddie            65                   77                 97                  95
HD11, Travis Clardy            68                   79                 96                  95
   
We will continue to watch our legislatures and see if they vote the will of their constituents or continue to block reform and pay homage to special interest groups.







Sunday, November 4, 2018

What is a Speaker?

While most voters are focused on the midterm elections, taking place on Nov 6, 2018, there is another election that quite possibly may be of bigger significance for Texas residents.

On December 1, members of the Texas House Republican Caucus will meet to decide among themselves, who they want to be their choice as the next Speaker of the Texas House. With the retirement of Rep. Joe Straus, a Republican, who has held the position since 2009, a new Speaker will be chosen when the 86th Legislative session begins in January. For historical purposes, Speaker Straus won the speaker race in 2009 by garnering all 74 votes from the Democrat party along with 11 Republicans. In the preceding sessions, he continued to receive all democrat votes and a handful of Republican votes until 2017 when he received 100% from both sides. In 2017, he ran unopposed.

Ever since Rep. Straus took the speaker position, there has been a growing concern that many conservative bills were not being passed. There were many that believed conservative legislation, involving but not limited to policies such as gun rights, abortion and property taxes were not being passed, or even heard and passed out of committee's, while Straus was the speaker. The House Speaker has, among some of its duties, the responsibility to  appoint committee chairs and assigning bills to respective committee's. In 2017, Republicans controlled the House 95-55. Of the 40 main committee's in the House, only 9 had a Republican Chair and Vice Chair, two committee's had a Democrat Chair and Vice Chair. Overall, Speaker Straus appointed Democrats to chair 14 committee's, and Republicans to chair just 26. 

Because of the groundswell of voices throughout Texas, Republican Caucus chairman Tan Parker appointed a working group, that included our own Chris Paddie, HD9, to come up with a legal and enforceable procedure whereby the Texas House Republican Caucus selected the next speaker. The full report can be seen here. This group said among other things, 'there is no legal restrictions on the Republican caucus selecting or otherwise endorsing a nominee'. They also suggested that a Speaker candidate be selected from a majority of votes by the caucus. If there are more than 3 candidates and none of the candidates receive a majority of votes, then voting continues with the person receiving the least amount of votes eliminated, until one person receives the required majority.

In the March 2018 primaries, Texas Republicans voted overwhelmingly in favor of House Republicans selecting their speaker nominee and in June at the Texas GOP State convention, delegates said in their platform,  "Republicans in the Texas House should select their Speaker nominee by secret ballot in a binding caucus without Democrat influence". There are currently six confirmed individuals that have declared their intention to be speaker. It has also been reported that some of those six are recruiting democrat support ahead of the Dec 1 vote.

Will Texas House Republicans keep to what Texas Republicans want and elect a speaker candidate without Democrat influence? Will they reject any candidate that claims Democrat support? And will all Texas House Republicans stick to the candidate that comes out of the caucus? Voters should call or write their representative and tell them to only elect a candidate that is not courting Democrat votes and to stick with the plan to support the Republican Speaker nominee.

Jan 8, 2019 is the first day of the 86th legislative session and when a new speaker will be confirmed. 







Wednesday, March 14, 2018

Sending Mixed Signals

Now that the 2018 primaries are over, most will go on about their daily routines and forget about the elections, politics and policies until the next time they realize there's an election. Ninety percent of registered voters do not vote, as evidence by the dismal voter turnout. Based on my experience, I'm betting only three percent of those that bother to vote, have any idea of the issues or an idea of how the candidates stand on issues. People vote mostly because they have a friend who told them who they are voting for, or what they've seen on tv, heard on radio ads or what they've read on the many mailers that come during election time. Actual investigation and research are never done by most. This is how most incumbents keep winning. They rely on the uneducated electorate, the low information voter. When information does present itself, it's ignored or spun by the opposition as not true. However, Galileo reminds us that "the truth is easy to understand once it is discovered, the point is to discover it".  This is why I write this blog, To help people discover the truth.

Thomas Jefferson linked an enlightened citizenry to an educated one. He spoke of governments degenerating when trusted to the rulers of its people. That the people themselves are the safe depositories to correct abuses in power, but they must be educated, to inform their discretion, so that freedom may be preserved. He said " though the people may acquiesce, they can not approve what they do not understand". I talked with hundreds of people over the course of these last primary elections, many of them on election day as they were exiting the voting locations. I found that many did not know who the candidates were or what positions they held on certain topics. It frustrated me so, that I thought, why are they voting at all? The overall returns of election night to me, were discouraging, not just because my favorite candidates lost, but because of how our citizenry doesn't pay enough attention to these matters. Jefferson also wrote "No nation is permitted to live in ignorance with impunity", and " The most effectual means of preventing power to tyranny is to illuminate, as far as practicable, the minds of the people at large."

Candidates are one thing, when it comes to being educated before you vote, but ideas are quite another. In the Republican primary of 2018, there were 11 propositions on the ballot. For each proposition, voters were asked whether they agreed or disagreed with the statement. These propositions came from the 2016 Texas GOP platform and voted on by the State Republican Executive Committee, to be placed before the Texas Republican primary voter. All eleven propositions passed. These propositions are not binding to any laws, but only to serve as guiding principles for Republican voters and ultimately, Republican legislators. These are opinion questions and as such, research and investigation are not necessary. Or are they?

Remember, these propositions came from the GOP 2016 platform. Many bills were presented in the last legislative session that reflected these platform positions. Bills like HB 948 by Representative Tony Tinderholt, which sought to abolish abortion in Texas. This was proposition #7 on your ballot. It is specifically plank #90 in the platform and linked to planks #88 & #89, right to life and reversing Roe v Wade. The fact that these ideas, platform planks did not pass in the 85th session, drove the SREC to place these positions on the ballot to get a better idea of what the electorate at large wanted, not just the delegates to the State Convention. Lets unpack all the propostions.

Prop 1: Replace the property tax system with a consumption based system. Passed 68%-32%
Prop 2: Toll roads approved by voters. Passed 90%-10%.
Prop 3: GOP members of house vote by secret ballot for speaker. Passed 85%-15%
Prop 4: Employers should use E-verify system. Passed 90%-10%
Prop 5: School Choice using tax credits. Passed 79%-21%
Prop 6: Bathroom Privacy. Passed 90%-10%
Prop 7: Abolish Abortion. Passed 68%-32%
Prop 8: End voter fraud. Passed 95%-5%
Prop 9: Repeal Obamacare. Passed 87%-13%
Prop 10: Cap revenue increases to 4%. Passed 94%-6%
Prop 11: No funding of sports teams. Passed 87%-13%

As you can see, all eleven propositions passed convincingly, including property tax reform and abolishing abortion, the two with the lowest spread but still a 36 point difference. These ideas are what the cumulative GOP voters in Texas want. Lets compare these numbers across the State to the counties in East Texas. The number below each proposition is the percentage of voters that voted FOR the position.

                        P1       P2       P3       P4       P5       P6       P7       P8       P9       P10       P11
Cass                64        90       88       93       73        96       80       97        93       95         88
Harrison          65        91        87       91       75        95       76       96        89       95         88
Marrion            64       90        87       92       82        94       68       96        89       95         89
Panola             66       92        89       91       69        95       80       97        93       94         88
Sabine             66       93        89       95       83        98       75       98        93       96         87
Shelby             67       92        86       91       79        97       80       97         92       94         86
Gregg              63       89        86       91       73        92       75       95         89       93         87
Upshur            71       92        87       92       73        95       80       97         92       95         89
Smith              64       90        88       91       81        94       76       95         90       94         88
Cherokee        72       92        89       91       80        96       79       97         93       95         90
Rusk               66       92        89       92       78        95       78       96         91       95         88
Titus                66       92        86       91       71        96       77      97         91       95         88
Wood              60       91        89       93       74       95        76       97         92       94         90

Every county listed above falls in line with the state average. Our representatives, Chris Paddie, Jay Dean, Matt Schaefer and Cole Hefner represent these counties. Only Paddie and Schaefer had primary challengers in this last election and both won convincingly. The numbers for representative Schaefer fall in line with his voting record as it relates to each proposition. The voters in Smith county, with the exception of Prop 1 voted at the same rate or better on every other proposition. In regards to property tax reform, they still voted favorably by 28%. Representative Schaefer it would seem is representing his district well. He falls in line with what the voters of Smith county want.

On the other hand, the voters in House District 9 which includes Cass, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Sabine and Shelby counties, seem to be giving mixed signals. The numbers suggest they are overwhelmingly in support of all the propositions but then they also re-elected Chris Paddie, who voted against or didn't support many of the same propositions in the 85th session. Do we interpret this conflict as, there are many low information voters in HD 9 or voters in HD 9 are voting only for a person and not what they believe. In either case, voters in HD 9 need more 'truth discovery' about their elected officials or even their own belief systems. For instance, they said they wanted property tax reform and cap any increases to 4%, (Prop 1&10). Paddie voted against the Senate version that would have capped property tax increases at 4%, in fact, he sided with house leadership to dismiss the session a day early and cut off any debates on the floor or with the Senate. He didn't fight to abolish abortion, (Prop 7) in the aforementioned HB 948. Every county in HD 9 approved this position at or better than the state average. Even when it comes to school choice, voters in every HD 9 county approved this measure overwhelmingly, but yet Mr Paddie continually says he is not in favor of it and will always vote against it. Proposition 11 is another conflict of voter interest. Voters said the state should not be funding private sports teams or venues but representative Paddie voted in favor of doing so.

This phenomenon isn't exclusive to voters in HD 9, but to many districts across Texas. If Republican voters truly believe in the propositions put forth to them on this years primary ballot, then why do they keep electing men and women who do not support these positions? If this election taught me anything, its that there are more voters than not, that need a better understanding of how their representative votes in Austin as compared to what they actually believe. Voters in HD 9 and other districts need to stop sending Mixed Signals. Along with many others, its my goal to illuminate the minds of the people of East Texas.
         




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